In the last seven years of Pedro Sánchez in La Moncloa there were two specific times when a certain sea was born in the PSOE on the basis of the need to request a replacement for the socialist leader: the weeks before the general elections of 2023 and almost a year later, when he withdrew five days to meditate on his future.
Now those waves in the PSOE are on their way to the Tsamot after they have known The last two leaders of the party organization have (reportedly) formed part of a criminal plot That used the organic structure and part of the government. All this is very close to the President of the Government and General Secretary of the PSOE.
The situation is so serious that excellent members of the nearest circle of Sánchez start to doubt that it is possible to continue with the legislative power.
They believe that it is still unpredictable to know how far the flood arrives, What else can leave or what else can the tested secondsIn line with what Koldo García has already done, as usual in all cases of corruption in which everyone agrees and confess.
José Luis ábalos still has to be spoken and Santos CerdánThe two depositions of all the secrets of Sánchez in the last 10 years. And it still has to be determined when the partners will realize that The pact with the PSOE “speaks”.
In the case of Cerdán, everything is more complicated because he has also been a discussion partner with Junts and Bildu, in the name of Sánchez, and knows the details of these negotiations, even those who cannot be counted.
Cerdán is the gunpowder vessel on which the president feelsTo add to the person who has already investigated the others.
Its involvement in these pacts makes it difficult to have its partners to apply impulse measures of the legislative power, as budgets or a matter of trust. That is why The discouragement is installed in the government and the party, while Sánchez reflects.
An appearance in the congress and even a regeneration plan can announce on Monday, because Felipe González and Mariano Rajoy already drowned corruption. I would only win time with that.
These turbulent waters mainly stir in socialist federations in which they strive to compete in the 2027 regional elections.
They fear that the flow of corruption would destroy everyone And that, as happened in 2023, the first victims of what happens at the federal head office and in the Moncloa they are.
In addition, members of the government and the party bear the impression of the impression of helplessness that they have observed in Pedro Sánchez in his appearance on Thursday at the headquarters of the Socialists and their subsequent silence.
He is refuge to a very closed hard core, further from the rest of the members of the government and the party. As if he was a refugee in the depths of the Moncloa bunker, more than 30 meters underground.
He even designated autonomous candidates for five of his ministers, to keep them closer and to control them in that hard core of corps.
Which, by the way, has the contra indication that these federations see their regional leader from Ver, in An exercise of centralism that blocks little with federalism and peripheral Spain Defended by Sanchez itself and benefits the waters on the ground in times of turbulence.
That hard core was eliminated on Thursday when the UCO report was known and hours later it was called to leave the face with the ideas of intimidation, the exemplaryness against what the PP does, the many cases of the Feijóo party, Mazón …
That is, everything Oscar López, an excellent member of that narrow circle around Sánchez, said in the being this Friday morning.
The President of the Government has used them to the special effects, the rabbits of the hat and the triple deadly jumps to get out of the moments of exhaustion. They have welcomed so many great moments of Sanchez Thursday was very worried because the trick was seen the trick.
“It’s as if the magic ended“, one of them, very worried about the madness of the message sent by Ferraz.
Even team members admit that a boost is needed that it is very difficult for them to give.
“It is already good for religious acts,” explains a socialist veteran, who remembers the doubts that were in the December PSOE congress about the continuity of Santos Cerdán As secretary of organization.
“His personal bond was imposed, it is a loyalty conflict, between the personal relationship and wanting to know,” he says, which shows that this decision is now being questioned and others could take that Sánchez freely and without internal criticism, but now start assessing. The magic ends.
“Party people are ashamed and angry. WhatsApp groups look like a funeral. Pedro’s loyal people who wonder what is happening for the first time. He will leave a conspiracy, “says a member with an analysis that describes the mood of many of them.
Sanchez was asked on Thursday in his appearance at the PSOE headquarters for his political responsibility in the appointments of ábalos. He only succeeded in answering that he assumes that working with justice, apologizing and rejects them as if the three were not mandatory.
And he denied the option of dismissal, elections or a matter of trust so that he will continue until 2027 as if nothing had happened. Now even his hard core starts to doubt that it is possible to continue.
From the mud to the sewer
In 2023, with the loss of their positions, the socialist barons paid the wear of the government in the previous legislative power. Sanchez surprised them with the knocked down call from general elections for the month of July and in those weeks Some started moving and thought it was the end.
Sanchez discovered some of those movements, pointed to the registrations and then took action against them. Moreover, his magic worked and although he did not win the elections, he did the result that he served to rule.
Those who talked about the succession eventually walked the leader because the magic had worked for him. Again his audience got up to reward his courage.
In 2024, Sánchez bordered everyone and let his hard core believe that he had broken into him by the allocation by the allocation of his wife, Begoña Gómez.
In those days it was forced that the party spoke about the follow -up and, by the way, it was concerned that it would not be easy and saw him vulnerable.
But he resurrected the fifth day and everyone again welcomed his leader, again buried the debate about him Post -surchism.
He offered them to grab as the ship at the table, Pseudomedios speech, the mud machineUltra -Recht -Wing jury members and accusations of fascist groups.
Now the mud has emerged in the secretariat of the PSOE organization in Ferraz and because it has gathered for years.
Koldo García He has removed the sewer cover and that many remains and accused much more willing to count.
Now, a few hours after the shock of knowing the criminal plot, they have seen him vulnerable and, moreover, they have not appreciated magic in the leader this time.
The measures he has announced are insufficient for almost everyone. In the party and in the government they see very complicated to reach 2027 or to reach “in terms of conditions”.
Curves
Some explain that so far the story had worked for the story of presenting itself as the Ecce gay attacked by factual forces. He did it when he was defended in 2016 as a general secretary of the PSOE and went with the interview with Jordi Évole In the sixth with the message of the actual powers that he had rejected. It worked.
He did it after retirement and, recently, with judicial investigations, with the message of the external attack that serves to unite everyone around the martyr. It is now harder to work.
For the question of whether the government can tolerate until 2027, there is a similar answer between somewhat critical socialists and the members of its hard core: it will try and only depends on it and its resistance capacity.
This statement is based on a shared reality that its partners will not take the course of ending the coalition government to achieve the Moncloa law and the utmost law. That cement continues to join them Now with a remarkable horror and hort time level.
In any case, the PSOE deemed that it will now be much harder to even try budgets by 2026. And if you try it, the price to be paid will be much bigger, because Sánchez is very weak and the parties usually smell the blood to bite themselves.
And in addition to the judicial test that will come before Sánchez in the coming months, There will be some very pronounced curves, such as military editionsWith a scale at the top of NATO of the end of the month where a greater effort will be demanded.
Not to mention the effect on the formations to the left of the PSOE needed to complete majorities.
It is concerned in important layers of the PSOE what can happen in the first elections to be held, that of Castilla Y León and that of Andalusia.
Especially the latter, for their symbolic and political value, and because the candidate is the number two of Sánchez in the government, María Jesús Montero, who has her hands open to place them in the fire by Santos Cerdán and is now more than touched.
In any case, no one can claim that the President of the Government remains in an unusual situation of weakness to move forward.
For example, to negotiate budgets when their potential partners can increase the price or when the Damocles -sword of the statements in the judicial headquarters, the data, the recordings or the revelations of which their close employees will always be.
